Archive for November, 2008

I’M THANKFUL FOR

Wednesday, November 26th, 2008

Good friends.

Many blessings.

LOW INFORMATION VOTERS

Thursday, November 20th, 2008

Back in August, Memphis Flyer Editor Bruce VanWyngarden wrote a column about uninformed voters, labeling them “dumbasses.”

Now that a commissioned survey of Obama voters has found that a majority were seriously misinformed, it might be fair to question whether the “dumbasses” conclusively chose Barack Obama.

Either way, let’s take a second look at VanWyngarden’s editorial:

I’ve been reading recently about “low-information voters.” These are people who, for the most part, don’t read newspapers, political websites, or opinion magazines to learn candidates’ voting records or political positions. They don’t pay much attention to politics at all, which in theory makes them susceptible to whatever information is put under their nose — whether it’s from a talk-radio host, a preacher, a co-worker, a random e-mail rumor, a bumper sticker, or a catchy slogan on a T-shirt.

Notice which sources of information VanWyngarden includes, and which he omits. Apparently, low-information voters can only be led astray by radio commentators, religious leaders, co-workers and random slogans. They cannot be misinformed by TV shows and movies, teachers and professors, fake news comedians, celebrities and entertainers, or liberal activists.

These are not discerning voters. Another name for them would be “dumbasses.” I say this without fear of retribution, knowing that low-information voters, i.e., dumbasses, don’t read this column. (I can’t wait for someone to write me and say, “That’s CRAP, buddy. I’m a dumbass, and I read your column.”)

As it turns out, the Leftists news sources such as the Memphis Flyer were directly responsible for creating these low-information voters in the first place, which means that the very definition of “dumbasses” is people who depend upon VanWyngarden’s column as a primary source of information.

But I digress. For years, low-information voters have been seen as easy targets, a group that can be manipulated at will by a clever politician. Nuance and policy positions are for pointy-headed liberal losers. All you need is a simplistic slogan: “Mission accomplished!” “We can’t cut and run.” “He’s a flip-flopper.” “Jews hate Jesus.” You get the idea.

It’s a good thing that Barack Obama’s campaign was driven by nuance and policy positions rather than simplistic slogans such as “Change,” “Hope,” and “Yes, We Can.” Obama may be a clever politician, but he would never try to manipulate low-information voters; only a Jew-hating Jesus freak (?!!) would try something like that.

Nationally, we’re seeing a major push for low-information voters by the McCain campaign, which seeks to paint Barack Obama as a vapid celeb. “Hot chicks love Obama” is a tag-line at the end of one of McCain’s latest ads. (Frankly, I think conceding the hot-chick vote is a bad idea for McCain. I mean, what’s the corollary? “Ugly schlubs love McCain”?)

Yes, all the most memorable sloganeering of 2008 was launched by that crafty devil, Senator John McCain. Who could forget his devastating “Hot chicks love Obama” tag-line? I certainly haven’t. I’m still peeling those bumper stickers off my car, and I’ve got more “Hot chicks love Obama” T-shirts than I know what to do with. If I had a quarter for every time I heard that slogan repeated on talk radio, at work, and at church… I’d have enough money to hire someone to delete all the e-mails with that tag-line cluttering up my inbox.

The point is, the campaign seems to think there are lots of fools in America who will decide their presidential vote based on their resentment of uppity celebrities. (”Uppity” being the operative word here.)

But certainly not because these “uppity celebrities” use their fame to spout vapid political slogans or influence low-information voters with a constant barrage of Leftist propaganda, infecting every awards show, performance and public appearance with ignorant, partisan jokes and insults. Fools they may be, but they’re not that stupid.

Locally, 9th District candidate Nikki Tinker did her best to get out low-information voters — people she perceived would be receptive to messages that painted her opponent as the wrong race and wrong religion. Unfortunately for her — and fortunately for Memphis — there were way fewer dumbasses hereabouts than she was hoping for.

Thankfully, the national election had absolutely nothing to do with race. The President-Elect wouldn’t dream of even associating himself with someone like Nikki Tinker. And he certainly wouldn’t designate that person his spiritual adviser or sit at that person’s feet for 20 years of racist invective.

WHY I’LL BE VOTING FOR DEMOCRATS

Thursday, November 20th, 2008

When we moved a few months ago, my wife and I both submitted a change of address form to the Shelby County Election Commission, sent on the same day. Her new voter registration card came in the mail during early voting, in the form of a flimsy little postcard that almost got lost in a pile of junk mail. My voter registration card was either lost in the mail or was never delivered, but I was able to vote using my new driver’s license, which arrived just a few days after ordering it online.

Q. What sort of identification does one need in order to cast a vote?

A. All you need is a voter registration card. There is no ID check.

Q. How paranoid must I be to fear my voter registration card was swiped by somebody planning to engage in voter fraud?

A. This is Shelby County, where even the dead vote.

Q. What does that mean for me?

A. You’ll want to be first in line for every future election, unless you want to risk someone else voting for you.

Thanks, Democrats! I really appreciate your stance on voter ID laws.

On the other hand, now that Republicans control the state legislature, perhaps they will pass a voter reform law. Where does Gov. Bredesen stand on the issue?

SPREADING THE POVERTY

Thursday, November 20th, 2008

I’m not an accountant or an investment broker, and I’m not particularly skilled in mathematics. Just consider this a thought experiment.

- – -

Let’s say you’re 30 years old in the year 2008, a bit younger than the U.S. median age of 36.7.

You will reach the full retirement age of 67 in the year 2045, 37 years from now.

Let’s also say that your annual income is $30,000 (somewhere between the median U.S. income of $25,795 and the mean U.S. income of $37,517).

Your Social Security tax is 12.4%, which equals $3,720 for the year. (Unless you’re self-employed, you only see half of that amount itemized on your paystub.)

Let’s say you invest an equal amount in a tax-deferred 401(k) or 403(b) retirement plan. And let’s say your mutual fund loses 39.12% of its value this year, or $1,455.26. So the year-end value of your retirement account is $2,264.74.

Let’s say that by some freakish circumstance, you earn the exact same amount each year until 2045, and your private retirement account accumulates an additional $2,264.74 each year, even though you continue to contribute $3,720 annually. At age 67, the value of your account is $83,795.38. Because of your reckless investment in the stock market, you lost $53,884.62.

On the other hand, your Social Security contribution was not invested in the stock market, so it did not lose 39.12% of its value. Instead, your Social Security contribution was paid out to current retirees or emptied into the general fund where it was spent immediately. Thus, your Social Security account lost 100% of its value, and its current value is $0. After 37 years, the value of your account is still $0. Because of your involuntary investment in the Social Security program, you lost $137,640.

- – -

Well before the year 2045, the Social Security program will be officially bankrupt and will be spending more than it takes in*. So in order for you to receive any benefit from the program, you will need to draw from the investments of three or more future contributors, you may be required to wait a few additional years before you are allowed to retire, or your annual contributions along the way may have increased, or you will be guaranteed fewer benefits, or some combination of these. Under no circumstances can you expect to have your Social Security contributions invested for a gain, or even saved dollar for dollar.

However, there is a decent chance that your private investment will not continue to tank 40% each year, and instead will grow an average of 10% each year for the next 37 years, as it has over the last century. Thus, your $137,640 becomes $1,350,522.

- – -
I suppose that’s why the Democrats want to raid your 401(k), pesky ignorance notwithstanding.

They don’t want you taking any chances with your money, not when they’ve got all this redistributing of your paycheck to accomplish.

What part of “when you spread the wealth around, it’s good for everybody” don’t you understand?

* The current estimate is 2017, the year SSA begins paying more in benefits than it collects in taxes.

THE HUCKSTER LASHES OUT, CUTS SELF

Monday, November 17th, 2008

Mike Huckabee has written a vindictive account of Campaign 2008, taking shots at Mitt Romney, Fred Thompson, conservative Christian leaders, libertarians and others who frustrated his political ambitions.

As usual, I find his analysis rather less than insightful, particularly on religious issues, given his claim to expertise on the subject:

Huckabee describes other elders of the social conservative movement, many of whom meet in private as part of an organization called the Arlington Group, as “more enamored with the process, the political strategies, and the party hierarchy than with the simple principles that had originally motivated the Founders.” Later Huckabee writes, “I lamented that so many people of faith had moved from being prophetic voices — like Naaman, confronting King David in his sin and saying, ‘Though art the man!’— to being voices of patronage, and saying to those in power, ‘You da’ man!’ “

Uh, do you mean Nathan?

You should probably have at least a passing familiarity with the Bible before you write a book about how you’re the voice of evangelical Christians. Good grief.

Previously: Why Mike Huckabee Lost Me At “Hello”

UPDATE: The TIME quote was correct; Huckabee was not.

FLYER SPLIT OVER ENQUIRER STORY

Friday, November 14th, 2008

There appears to be some disagreement among Flyer staff concerning the National Enquirer’s story on John Edwards earlier this summer.

Senior Editor Jackson Baker:

This is pure Comstockery, writ large. What the hell is the National Enquirer doing, snooping around a hotel room where two consenting adults are doing whatever they’re doing? What business is it of anybody else’s? Why is the MSM admiringly preparing to creep into the same set of nocturnal shadows? This ain’t good, people.

Staff Writer Chris Davis:

Bottom line: John may have f*cked up but he isn’t the real bad guy in this piece, the National Enquirer is.

Editor Bruce VanWyngarden:

[T]hank God for the National Enquirer. They deserve a Pulitzer for saving us from the likes of Edwards…

What do you think? Pure comstockery, or Pulitzer Prize?

GENERAL POWELL A TRIPLE CABINET CANDIDATE?

Tuesday, November 11th, 2008

It will come as no surprise to this blog’s readership that General Powell is being considered for three different cabinet positions in the Obama Administration, according to unnamed sources at U.S. News. Obama already said Powell would “have a role as a top presidential adviser” in the administration, but was the General’s endorsement valuable enough to land him the top job at Defense, State or Education, three areas where he’s apparently being considered? It doesn’t really matter, of course — the important thing is that Powell has successfully rehabilitated his career, proven by virtue of his even being considered for these roles. That, not race, and not the ridiculous reasons he gave on Meet the Press, was the primary reason for his endorsement of Obama. I don’t blame him.

GO JIM GO!

Tuesday, November 11th, 2008

Thanks to Mediaverse for passing on this masterpiece of local tele-journalism (be sure to check out the transcript he posted): (more…)

THE FUTURE OF CONSERVATISM

Tuesday, November 11th, 2008

David Brooks says there’s a battle being waged over “the future of conservatism” between the Traditionalists (who are conservative) and the Reformers (who are not).

It’s nice of the moderate Reformers to take time out of their busy schedules to tell conservatives what they should say and do. Particularly since they’ve been so successful of late.

Brooks says the Traditionalists want to “return to [the GOP's] core ideas,” while the Reformers “argue that the old G.O.P. priorities were fine for the 1970s but need to be modernized for new conditions.”

Apparently, the old GOP priorities weren’t modern enough in 1980, 1984, 1988, 1994, 2000, 2002 and 2004. Why bother with core principles, anyway? All you need to be a moderate is an opinion poll and a pink tie.

Brooks says “the Traditionalists are going to win the fight for supremacy in the G.O.P.” in the near term, because they have all of the “activist groups, donor networks, think tanks and publicity arms.” Besides, all of the moderate politicians from the Northeast and Upper Midwest are gone, having lost their seats in Congress. The party will “veer right,” he predicts, and “suffer more defeats.”

But why let that happen when we could help these defeated Reformers light a fire under the non-existent moderate activists? It makes perfect sense to me.

Then, finally, some new Reformist donors and organizers will emerge. They will build new institutions, new structures and new ideas, and the cycle of conservative ascendance will begin again.

Who will rescue the conservative cause? Why, failed moderate politicians and their fictitious base of activists, of course! Throughout history, moderates have always launched cycles of conservative ascendance. It’s an undeniable fact of life.

HAPPY VETERANS DAY

Tuesday, November 11th, 2008

John McCain

My thanks to all who serve and served. I appreciate you.